The sequel to the “Frozen” smash is expected to earn more than $100 million as it opens on November 22, according to early tracking. While “Frozen II” is expected to overtake the market during the Thanksgiving season, it will have to compete with new offers, including Sony’s Mister Rogers movie “A Beautiful Neighborhood Day” and STX’s drama “21 Bridges.”
A “Frozen II” triple-digit debut would be a leap to the original. The 2013 animated musical adventure released over Thanksgiving, raising $67.4 million over the weekend and a record high of $93.6 million over the first five days of its release.
If projections hold, “Frozen II” will set a new record for the highest opening weekend for Walt Disney Animation to date (not including Pixar), a distinction currently held at $75.1 million in 2016’s “Zootopia.” It could also be the first animated film to release outside of the summer to more than $100 million.
Fellow new releases will compete for scraps with “Frozen II” set to gain the share of box office spoils from a turkey. “A Beautiful Neighborhood Day,” another buzzy name creating Oscar buzz, is about $20 million in a fall. Sony’s couching aspirations by predicting a debut of $15 million due to increased holiday competition.
Frozen 2 explores the history of Elsa’s magical powers, as Elsa, Anna, Kristoff, Olaf and Sven set out on a dangerous but remarkable journey to find answers as Arendelle once again comes under threat.
As reported last week, assuming reviews are good, I have a hard time thinking that Frozen II will not open at least as well, with or without 3-D boosts, including Minions ($115 million in 2015), Toy Story 4 ($120 million in 2019), Shrek the Third ($121 million in 2007), The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part I ($122 million in 2014), Harry Potter and Deathly Hollows Part I ($125 million in 2014).
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